Drug Channels delivers timely analysis and provocative opinions from Adam J. Fein, Ph.D., the country's foremost expert on pharmaceutical economics and the drug distribution system. Drug Channels reaches an engaged, loyal and growing audience of more than 100,000 subscribers and followers. Learn more...
Showing posts with label Inflation Reduction Act of 2022. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Inflation Reduction Act of 2022. Show all posts

Wednesday, July 15, 2026

The 340B Program Hit $100 Billion in 2025: Has It Become Too Big to Reform?

By Adam J. Fein, Ph.D.

The 340B Drug Pricing Program continues to redefine the meaning of "skyrocketing."
  • For 2025, discounted purchases under the 340B program reached an astounding $100 billion—23% higher than in 2024.
  • The gross-to-net difference between list prices and discounted 340B purchases—a proxy for funds available to covered entities—also grew, to $79.5 billion (+$12.0 billion).
  • Hospitals again accounted for 87% of 340B purchases.
  • 340B purchases are now more than 70% larger than Medicaid’s net prescription drug spending. The program now accounts for nearly one-fifth of the total U.S. gross-to-net bubble.

During DCI’s June webinar, I predicted that the 340B program would move from an era of expansion and opacity to one of transparency and accountability.

But given the latest growth figures, I worry that reform of this undermanaged, out-of-control program may never happen. Has the program become too big to reform?

Read on for our full analysis—and consider whether 340B will ever face its true day of reckoning.

Click here to share your thoughts on the latest 340B data with the Drug Channels community on LinkedIn.

Tuesday, June 16, 2026

The IRA Fixed One Medicare Part D Distortion—But Patients Now Face New Tradeoffs

By Bryce Platt, PharmD

For years, Medicare Part D plans often preferred high-list/high-rebate branded multiple sclerosis (MS) drugs over lower-cost generics. That was rational behavior inside an irrational system.

The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) offers one example of how incentives can change behavior in the system. New research in JAMA Health Forum reveals a significant reversal in Medicare Part D formulary coverage for MS drugs. After years of plans favoring brand-name drugs over generics, 2025 formularies shifted to near-universal generic coverage.

However, in return patients got narrower formularies, higher upfront costs, and way more taxpayer dollars spent than expected.

While this wasn’t the case for all drug classes, in MS, the IRA Part D redesign has forced plans to care more about net drug spending. Below, we analyze the formulary data and explain why the coverage patterns changed so abruptly—and what new tradeoffs have emerged.

Wednesday, April 08, 2026

List Price Reductions Will Deflate the Gross-to-Net Bubble–and Threaten Pharmacy and 340B Profits from IRA-Negotiated Drugs (rerun)

This week, I’m rerunning some popular posts while we prepare for Friday’s live video webinar: PBM Industry Update 2026: Trends, Challenges, and What’s Ahead.

Since this article was published last December, Net Pricing Drug Channel developments have accelerated. Manufacturers reduced the list prices for 6 of the 10 products with an MFP for 2026. They have also preemptively reduced list prices for three products that will have MFPs in 2027 and 2028. For more on these trends, see Section 12.1.1. of our new 2026 Economic Report on U.S. Pharmacies and Pharmacy Benefit Managers.

Click here to see the original post from December 2025.


Contrary to popular belief, the Inflation Reduction Act’s (IRA) maximum fair prices (MFPs) could temporarily boost profits for retail pharmacies serving Medicare Part D patients.

The bad news? The IRA is also one of the five key forces deflating the gross-to-net bubble.

That’s why any IRA-related pharmacy profits will vanish if manufacturers lower list prices to be closer to net prices. At least 13 brand-name drugs—five of which have MFPs—reportedly plan to reduce list prices within the next two months.

As I show below, retail pharmacies risk becoming collateral damage from significant deflation in the gross-to-net bubble for drugs subject to an MFP. Welcome to our bonkers healthcare system—where everyone wants lower prices, until they actually get them.

What’s more, list price cuts will reduce profits from 340B contract pharmacy operations, while weakening covered entities’ main objections to a 340B rebate model. Get ready for a 340B slowdown.

Tuesday, March 03, 2026

Preorder Now: DCI’s 2026 Economic Report on U.S. Pharmacies and Pharmacy Benefit Managers

On March 24, 2026, Drug Channels Institute will release The 2026 Economic Report on U.S. Pharmacies and Pharmacy Benefit Managers. This report—our seventeenth edition—remains the most comprehensive, fact-based tool for understanding the entire U.S. drug pricing, reimbursement, and dispensing system. If you make strategic decisions in this industry, this report belongs on your desk.

12 chapters, 500+ pages, 270 exhibits, and nearly 1,300 endnotes. No other resource matches the scope, depth, and rigor of this resource.

We are offering you the opportunity to preorder the thoroughly updated, revised, and expanded 2026 edition at special discounted prices. Preordering guarantees early access and locks in the lowest available price. Those who preorder will receive a download link before March 30.
You can pay online with all major credit cards (Visa, MasterCard, American Express, and Discover). Click here to contact us if you would like to pay by corporate check or ACH.

Email Marie Caldwell (mcaldwell@hmpglobal.com) if you’d like to bundle the report purchase with access to DCI’s video webinars.

Special preorder and launch pricing discounts will be valid through April 6, 2026. After that date, prices increase. Secure your discount now.

The report was researched and written by the Drug Channels Institute team, led by Adam J. Fein, Ph.D. As shown below, the 2026 edition delivers unmatched depth and breadth. The numbers indicate the report chapter that corresponds to, explains, and analyzes each channel flow.


The 2026 Economic Report on U.S. Pharmacies and Pharmacy Benefit Managers contains the most current market and industry data available, including DCI’s annual analyses of the market positions of the largest pharmacies, specialty pharmacies, and PBMs. Throughout the report, we have added new industry data, deepened our coverage of many topics, and expanded our analysis of emerging trends.

This definitive, nonpartisan report will aid pharmaceutical manufacturers, wholesalers, pharmacists, pharmacy owners, hospital executives, pharmacy buyers, benefit managers, managed care executives, policy analysts, investors, consultants, and anyone else who wants to understand and benefit from this ever-changing industry. If your organization competes, negotiates, invests, or sets policy in this market, this report will sharpen your strategy.

There are many notable updates in this 2026 edition, including:
  • A new Section 4.3.4. analyzes manufacturers’ direct-to-patient (DTP) websites and TrumpRx within the broader context of patient-paid prescriptions.
  • A new Section 5.5. deconstructs the three largest PBMs’ gross profits. Some of this material previously appeared in Chapter 11.
  • Material in Section 7.1., Section 9.1., and Section 9.3. reflects the PBM legislative reforms contained within the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2026 (P.L. 119-75), which became law in February 2026.
  • Material in Section 8.4. and Section 9.3. incorporates implications of the 2026 settlement between Express Scripts and the Federal Trade Commission.
  • A new Section 6.3.3. reviews research on how the IRA’s implementation has affected out-of-pocket spending by Medicare Part D beneficiaries.
  • A new Section 11.2.4. analyzes pharmacies’ dispensing profits under the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (IRA).
  • A new Section 12.1.4. evaluates the potential implications of most favored nation (MFN) and tariff policies on the drug channel.
  • In Section 12.3.1., our illustration of major vertical business relationships among drug channel businesses now incorporates affiliated third-party administrators (TPAs) and administrative services only (ASO) platforms.
  • We have also improved our presentation of material about the IRA and the 340B Drug Pricing Program.
You can read about these changes starting on page x of the report overview.

Thank you for your interest in our work. If you have any questions before purchasing a license to the report, please email me. We look forward to supporting your team’s success in 2026.


Tuesday, February 03, 2026

Latest CMS Data Reveal Six Trends Reshaping U.S. Drug Spending

By Adam J. Fein, Ph.D.

The boffins at the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) recently dropped the latest National Health Expenditure (NHE) data, which track all U.S. spending on healthcare. (Links below.)

We spent an astounding $5,278,588,000,000 on healthcare in 2024. Yes, that’s $5.3 trillion!

Retail outpatient prescription drugs accounted for less than 9% of that total. More than half of net outpatient drug spending was paid by federal, state, and local government programs. Below, we delve into the spending trends, which reveal the impact of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) on Medicare spending, the boom in healthcare marketplaces, and the post-pandemic bust in Medicaid.

Contrary to what you might read, the government’s data show that drug spending growth was not driven by purportedly “skyrocketing” drug prices. In reality, nearly all of the increase in drug spending reflected higher utilization—more people treated, more prescriptions dispensed, and shifts among drugs dispensed—rather than higher net prices.

Prices may grab headlines, but utilization—and taxpayers—are driving the spending story. When prices stop being signals, markets stop being markets.

Wednesday, January 07, 2026

U.S. Brand-Name Drug Prices Fell in 2025 as the Net Pricing Drug Channel Emerges

By Adam J. Fein, Ph.D.

It's time for Drug Channels’ annual examination of U.S. brand-name drug pricing.

For 2025, brand-name drugs’ average list prices grew by only 3.5%, but net prices declined. When manufacturers’ rebates and discounts are factored in, drugs’ average net prices—both before and after inflation—fell. Details and additional commentary below.

As I have been predicting, the gross-to-net bubble is deflating due to the combined impacts of government actions and consumer behavior.

For 2024 and 2025, manufacturers reduced the wholesale acquisition cost (WAC) list prices for more than 20 brand-name drugs. For 2026, manufacturers will cut prices on at least 15 more drugs, which will reduce gross brand-name revenues by $35 to $40 billion. List prices are dropping by –25% to –85%.

The data leave no doubt: the bubble is finally leaking air. We are entering the Net Pricing Drug Channel (#NPDC)—a market environment in which net prices, not list prices, drive access, economics, and strategy.

The NPDC will reward simplicity, punish rebate dependence, and force every channel participant to rethink how money actually moves. Time to get ready.

Thursday, December 18, 2025

Drug Channels News Roundup, December 2025: The Net Pricing Drug Channel (#NPDC) Era, LillyDirect, My $0.02 on New MFPs, PBMs in Medicaid—and DCLF 2026

Happy New Year, everyone!

As always, thank you for welcoming Drug Channels into your inboxes, browsers, and apps. I’m continually inspired by the diverse and thoughtful people who follow, share, and challenge our work. Our DCI community now includes more than 110,000 subscribers and followers across the industry. If you haven't already done so, you can stay connected by signing up for an email subscription or following me on LinkedIn.

We loved bringing you our analysis and curated links throughout 2025, and we hope you enjoyed engaging with us—and with one another—across the DCI community.

Stay tuned! In addition to our second Drug Channels Leadership Forum, we have several exciting announcements coming your way in 2026.

Wishing you and your family health and happiness,
Adam and the DCI team


In our final roundup of 2025: Plus: We're getting ready for the second Drug Channels Leadership Forum! Have you submitted your invite request yet?

P.S. Join my nearly 67,000 LinkedIn followers for daily links to neat stuff, along with sharp and thoughtful commentary from the DCI community.

Monday, December 15, 2025

340B Hit $81 Billion in 2024 (+23%): Why CMS and the IRA Are Poised to Cool the Program’s Runaway Growth

Whoa. The 340B Drug Pricing Program has once again given new meaning to the word “skyrocketing.”

For 2024, discounted purchases under the 340B program reached a record $81.4 billion—an astounding $15.1 billion (+23%) higher than 2023. The gross-to-net difference between list prices and discounted 340B purchases—a proxy for funds available to covered entities—also grew, to $66.4 billion (+$6.0 billion). Hospitals again accounted for 87% of 340B purchases.

How big is the program? 340B purchases are now more than 50% larger than Medicaid’s net prescription drug spending. The program now accounts for nearly one-fifth of the total U.S. gross-to-net bubble.

But thanks to the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), 340B’s day of reckoning is coming soon. I expect 2026 to be the first year of structural 340B pressure as the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) continues its regulatory takeover of the 340B program. What’s more, I expect the program’s out-of-control growth rate to slow and for some long-overdue transparency to enter this notoriously opaque program.

Read on for our full analysis—and why the 340B swell may finally be breaking.

Wednesday, December 10, 2025

Who Will Pay for Prescription Drugs in 2033: DCI’s Takeaways from the Latest Government Forecasts (rerun)

This week, I’m rerunning some popular posts while I prepare for Friday's live video webinar: Drug Channels Outlook 2026 .

Click here to see the original post from September 2025.


Over the summer, the boffins at the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) released the latest projections for U.S. spending on healthcare. (See links below.) These data provide the latest official and apolitical look at the future of U.S. healthcare spending.

The top line projections highlight the government’s official view that prescription drugs dispensed by retail and mail pharmacies will have a modest impact on U.S. healthcare costs.

However, there are some notable changes from the previous forecast. CMS now expects that the Inflation Reduction Act’s changes to the Medicare Part D program will have a greater impact than previously projected, while private insurers will find drug costs creeping higher.

Below, we outline the four major takeaways from the latest projections, which continue to show that taxpayers—primarily via Medicare and Medicaid—will continue to dominate the employer-sponsored insurance market. And like it or not, vertically integrated insurers, PBMs, specialty pharmacies, and providers will continue to prosper.

Tuesday, December 02, 2025

List Price Reductions Will Deflate the Gross-to-Net Bubble–and Threaten Pharmacy and 340B Profits from IRA-Negotiated Drugs

Contrary to popular belief, the Inflation Reduction Act’s (IRA) maximum fair prices (MFPs) could temporarily boost profits for retail pharmacies serving Medicare Part D patients.

The bad news? The IRA is also one of the five key forces deflating the gross-to-net bubble.

That’s why any IRA-related pharmacy profits will vanish if manufacturers lower list prices to be closer to net prices. At least 13 brand-name drugs—five of which have MFPs—reportedly plan to reduce list prices within the next two months.

As I show below, retail pharmacies risk becoming collateral damage from significant deflation in the gross-to-net bubble for drugs subject to an MFP. Welcome to our bonkers healthcare system—where everyone wants lower prices, until they actually get them.

What’s more, list price cuts will reduce profits from 340B contract pharmacy operations, while weakening covered entities’ main objections to a 340B rebate model. Get ready for a 340B slowdown.

For more on the intended and unintended consequences of the IRA—and its interplay with 340B—join me for my live video webinar, Drug Channels Outlook 2026, on December 12, 2025, from 12:00 p.m. to 1:30 p.m. ET.

Thursday, November 13, 2025

Medicare Part D 2026: Preferred Networks Vanish as the PDP Market Collapses

As I’ve been warning for years, the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (IRA) has nearly obliterated the stand-alone Medicare Part D prescription drug plan (PDP) market.

DCI’s exclusive analysis of Center for Medicare & Medicaid Services’ (CMS) data reveals:
  • The number of PDPs has plummeted by 55% since the IRA’s passage, to a record low of 360 plans for 2026.
  • Preferred cost-sharing pharmacy networks are disappearing, with their share falling to the lowest level since 2014. That’s a post-IRA net loss of 505 plans with these networks.
  • Just five companies—Aetna, Health Care Service Corporation, Humana, UnitedHealthcare, Wellcare—will account for 94% of all PDPs in 2026. In recent years, four major plan sponsors—Cigna, Clear Spring Health, Elevance Health, and Mutual of Omaha—have exited the PDP market.
See the charts below and our analysis of the remaining national players, along with updated data on preferred networks in Medicare Advantage prescription drug (MA-PD) plans.

Even with the demonstration program handouts, the Part D market is increasingly fragile: fewer choices, greater concentration, and massive disruption for beneficiaries.

Thanks, IRA! 🙃

What else should you expect for 2026? Find out during my upcoming live video webinar, Drug Channels Outlook 2026, on December 12, 2025, from 12:00 p.m. to 1:30 p.m. ET. Click here to learn more and sign up. As always, we are offering special discounts if you want to bring your whole team.

Tuesday, October 28, 2025

Tuesday, September 30, 2025

Drug Channels News Roundup, September 2025: Mark Cuban Wins (Again), Biosimilar Pricing Double Standards, Part D Collapse, Fresh 340B Facts, and The Pitt

Autumn is here! Curl up with your Labubu’s favorite pumpkin-spiced blog and savor these stories harvested from the great Drug Channels patch: Plus: If you loved The Pitt, you'll love the sequel!

P.S. Join my 65,000+ LinkedIn followers for curated links to neat stuff, along with sharp and thoughtful commentary from the DCI community.
Drug Channels Leadership Forum 2026

Drug Channels Institute is proud to host the 2026 Drug Channels Leadership Forum, which will take place from March 16–18, 2026, in Miami. Check out the agenda and request your invitation to this invite-only gathering of senior leaders from across the drug channel ecosystem. You must request an invitation to be considered for attendance. We will begin sending invitations in mid-October.

Tuesday, September 23, 2025

Who Will Pay for Prescription Drugs in 2033: DCI’s Takeaways from the Latest Government Forecasts

Over the summer, the boffins at the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) released the latest projections for U.S. spending on healthcare. (See links below.) These data provide the latest official and apolitical look at the future of U.S. healthcare spending.

The top line projections highlight the government’s official view that prescription drugs dispensed by retail and mail pharmacies will have a modest impact on U.S. healthcare costs.

However, there are some notable changes from the previous forecast. CMS now expects that the Inflation Reduction Act’s changes to the Medicare Part D program will have a greater impact than previously projected, while private insurers will find drug costs creeping higher.

Below, we outline the four major takeaways from the latest projections, which continue to show that taxpayers—primarily via Medicare and Medicaid—will continue to dominate the employer-sponsored insurance market. And like it or not, vertically integrated insurers, PBMs, specialty pharmacies, and providers will continue to prosper.

Tuesday, June 17, 2025

The Top Pharmacy Benefit Managers of 2024: Market Share and Key Industry Developments (rerun)

This week, I’m rerunning some popular posts while I prepare for Friday’s live video webinar: What’s Next for Retail Pharmacy: Data, Debate, and Disruption. I’ll be joined by special guest Antonio Ciaccia, CEO of 46brooklyn Research, and President of 3 Axis Advisors.

Click here to see the original post from March 2025.


Three’s still company in the world of pharmacy benefit managers.

For 2024, nearly 80% of all equivalent prescription claims were processed by three familiar companies: the CVS Caremark business of CVS Health, the Express Scripts business of Cigna, and the Optum Rx business of UnitedHealth Group. The names haven’t changed, but shifting relationships and contract shakeups have altered the plot, with Express Scripts stepping into a new lead role.

Below, we break down the latest market share data from Drug Channels Institute (DCI), explore the developments driving these changes, and examine what they signal for the future of the PBM landscape.

Wednesday, May 21, 2025

How the IRA’s Part B Coinsurance Inflation Adjustments Can Raise Seniors’ Drug Costs

The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) is triggering increases in Medicare beneficiaries’ spending on their Part B drugs.

Though CMS touts that the IRA’s inflation-based coinsurance adjustments will "lower out-of-pocket costs," the results have been more complicated. Below, we update and expand on our previous analysis.

We find that a growing number of Part B drugs now have inflation-adjusted coinsurance rates that are rising, not falling. In many cases, the rate dips temporarily before snapping back to the standard 20%.

Even more troubling, these fluctuations have led to unexpected increases in patients’ out-of-pocket expenses—even when a drug’s price was declining.

These unpredictable coinsurance shifts are another example of the IRA’s unintended consequences. Rather than enjoying stable or reduced costs, some seniors are finding themselves on a financial rollercoaster.
What’s Next for Retail Pharmacy: Data, Debate, and Disruption.

Don’t miss DCI’s next webinar on June 20, 2025 (12:00–1:30 p.m. ET), featuring Dr. Adam J. Fein and Antonio Ciaccia. We’ll unpack the good, the bad, and the ugly of the pharmacy industry—and explore what it means for you. This dynamic session will blend expert insights and real-time debate. Hope you can join us!

Monday, April 28, 2025

Drug Channels News Roundup, April 2025: Amazon Rx Update, Express Scripts’ Spend Trends, Gold Cards, and CMS Acronym Absurdity

Spring has officially arrived at Drug Channels' worldwide headquarters in beautiful downtown Philadelphia. (Photo proof at right.) So, scurry over to this month’s curated crop of noteworthy news: Plus, MPPP or not MPPP? That is the question.

P.S. Join nearly 63,000 of your peers who follow me on LinkedIn for daily insights, links to neat stuff, and sharp commentary from the ever-engaged DCI community.

Live from Asembia’s AXS25 Summit: The DCI team is on-site! Swing by booth #1601 at 4 p.m. today for our “Ask Adam Anything” (#AAA) session.

Friday, April 04, 2025

Inflation-Adjusted U.S. Brand-Name Drug Prices Fell for the Seventh Consecutive Year as a New Era of Drug Pricing Dawns (rerun)

This week, I’m rerunning some popular posts while I prepare for today’s live video webinar: PBM Industry Update: Trends, Challenges, and What’s Ahead.

Click here to see the original post from January 2025.


It's time for Drug Channels’ annual examination of U.S. brand-name drug pricing.

For 2024, average brand-name drugs’ list prices grew by only 2.3%. What’s more, after adjusting for overall inflation, brand-name drug net prices dropped for an unprecedented seventh consecutive year. Details and additional commentary below.

As I predicted two years ago, the combined impact of changes to Medicaid rebates, the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), and novel formulary access strategies have led multiple manufacturers to pop the gross-to-net bubble for high-list/high-rebate products. Consider the 18 products with list-price cuts shown below.  Other drugmakers have reduced the rate of price increases, thereby inflating the bubble more slowly.

Employers, health plans, and pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) determine the extent to which patients with insurance share in this ongoing deflation. But signs of change to the conventional approaches are undeniable.

New channel models—including smaller PBMs, cost-plus pharmacies, patient-paid discount card prescriptions, and manufacturers’ direct-to-patient businesses—are creating novel paths for drugs that can be sold without gross-to-net bubble distortions.

The bubble won’t vanish overnight. But for the first time in years, I can foresee a time when SpongeBob SquarePants will move on from Drug Channels.