Below, I compare who’s better and who’s best among the PBMs and share additional observations about the 2017 trends. We offer four key conclusions:
- Drug spending grew by only 1.5% in 2017, continuing a multiyear decline in the growth rate.
- Total drug spending declined at more than 40% of plan sponsors.
- Spending on traditional drugs dropped by mid-single digits.
- For specialty drugs, higher utilization was a much bigger contributor to spending growth than was growth in unit costs.
ANYWAY, ANYHOW, ANYWHERE
Here are links to the four PBMs’ 2017 drug trend reports. As always, I encourage you to review the source materials for yourself.
- Express Scripts (I reviewed this report in New Express Scripts Data: The Drug Spending Slowdown Is Real.)
In this one page advertisement, OptumRx revealed only its overall drug trend for the first nine months of 2017. An OptumRx spokesperson denied Drug Channels’ request for further information or clarification. We therefore had to exclude data from the third-largest PBM, making me not a happy jack.
Note that our comparison focuses only on commercial payers: employers and health plans. Those are the only data reported by CVS. Express Scripts provided separate trend figures for Medicare, Medicaid, and Exchanges. Prime and MedImpact provided separate trend data only for Medicare and Medicaid.
THE TRENDS ARE ALRIGHT
The chart below shows the unweighted average drug trend figures for the past four years. Note that not every PBM contributed data in every year. As you can see, changes in drug spending have dropped continuously over the past four years.
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These data provide a comprehensive picture of the overall commercial payer market. That’s because these PBMs accounted for the vast majority of U.S. retail, mail, long-term care, and specialty equivalent prescription claims. See our chart: PBM Market Share, by Total Equivalent Prescription Claims, 2017.
The chart below summarizes the reported 2017 commercial drug trend figures from four PBMs: the Caremark business of CVS Health; Express Scripts; MedImpact; and Prime Therapeutics.
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The PBMs’ data highlight key trends about drug spending growth:
- All PBMs reported overall changes in drug spending for 2017 that were below 2%. The claims-weighted average was 1.5% for these four PBMs. (OptumRx was a notable exception, as I describe below.)
- Spending growth on traditional drugs declined as generic dispensing rates grew and rebates increased. See Payer Power: Why Eli Lilly, Janssen, and Merck Deeply Discount Their Drug Prices.
- Specialty drug spending grew by 10% to 13% for the commercial clients of these PBMs. As I discuss below, the major component of specialty spending growth was an increase in the number of people being treated and in the number of prescriptions being dispensed.
- CVS Health: 42%
- Express Scripts: 44%
SEE ME, FEEL ME: UTILIZATION—NOT COST—DROVE SPECIALTY DRUG SPENDING
Year-over-year changes in drug spending have two primary components:
- Unit costs—the payer’s cost per unit of therapy. Unit costs vary with (1) the rate of inflation in brand-name drug prices, (2) shifts to different drug options within a therapeutic class, (3) a shift in mix of therapeutic classes utilized by beneficiaries, and (4) the substitution of generic drugs for brand-name drugs.
- Utilization—the total quantity of drugs obtained by a payer’s beneficiaries. Utilization varies with (1) the number of people on drug therapy, (2) the degree to which people adhere to their drug therapy, and (3) the average number of days of treatment.
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The data clearly show that nearly two-thirds of specialty drug spending growth can be attributed to the growth in the number of people being treated and the number of prescriptions being dispensed. For Caremark’s commercial clients, the 9.2% utilization increase accounted for more than 70% of the 12.9% increase in specialty drugs’ spending. Utilization growth can be considered a positive trend, because it is well established that pharmaceutical spending reduces medical spending and improves patients’ health.
These data also provide another unpleasant implication behind the growing adoption of copay accumulators—which, I believe, will decrease utilization of specialty drugs. See problem 2 described in in Copay Accumulators: Costly Consequences of a New Cost-Shifting Pharmacy Benefit.
I CAN’T EXPLAIN
Clearly, drug spending is not spinning out of control. Pharmacy benefit costs are growing much more slowly than is growth in other part of the U.S. healthcare system, such as hospital spending and physician salaries.
Most of us are benefiting from these trends. That’s because the vast majority of people pay little out-of-pocket for their prescriptions. (Many generic prescriptions now say: “I’m free!”) Check out the Express Scripts data that I shared in Exclusive Express Scripts Data: Most People Have Very Low Out-Of-Pocket Prescription Costs. The CVS Health figures on page 12 of its report tell a similar story. Almost 97% of Caremark beneficiaries spent less than $1,000 out-of-pocket in 2017.
However, we shouldn’t celebrate just yet. People in high-deductible plans or taking specialty drugs are paying more for their prescriptions, courtesy of the gross-to-net bubble. The warped incentives that allow payers to capture savings at the expense of the sickest patients is behind the Trump administration’s controversial drug pricing plan.
Our country’s collective challenge will be to harness the positive aspects of the PBM model while altering the economics of the drug channel. Let’s hope we don’t get fooled again.
P.S. Today’s post is brought to you by The Who!
CORRECTION: Prime Therapeutics published separate trend reports for commercial, Medicare, and Medicaid. We incorrectly stated that it only published a commercial report. We apologize for the error.
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